5Q Quadrants·of·Risk

Risk register · entry

Q3 · Engineered

MOVEit mass-exploit

One file-transfer zero-day breached 2,700+ organisations at once.

Tightly coupled systems where one small fault cascades and takes down the whole machine.

Quadrant
Q3 Engineered
Year
2023
Impact
95M+ people
Sector
Data supply chain
Region
Global
Category
Technological

Why this quadrant

An unpatched SQL injection in one file-transfer product is an ordinary flaw. Because 2,500 organisations ran the same product, exploiting it once reached all of them in the same week rather than one company at a time. Roughly 95.8 million people's data was taken. Clop then ran it as an extortion campaign, naming victims on a leak site to set the clock.

The record

  • CVE-2023-34362, SQL injection vulnerability, CVSS 9.8certain
  • Exploitation began around May 27-28, 2023 (per Mandiant/Rapid7 telemetry)certain
  • Progress Software publicly disclosed the vulnerability May 31, 2023certain
  • Web shell used: LEMURLOOTcertain
  • Roughly 2,500 MOVEit Transfer instances exposed to the public internet as of May 31, 2023certain
  • 2,773 organizations affected overalllikely
  • Approximately 95.8 million individuals' data exposedlikely
  • Clop posted its first batch of 12-13 named victims on its leak site June 14, 2023, threatened public data dumps from June 21certain
  • Progress Software: ~$1.5 million direct incident costs in FY2023, $3.7 million insurance recoveries, $8.8 million insurance coverage remainingcertain
  • SEC subpoena issued to Progress Software October 2, 2023certain
  • Progress Software named in ~118 class-action suits as of early 2024, rising past 140 laterlikely
  • Settlements: National Student Clearinghouse $9.95M, Nuance Communications $8.5M, Cadence Bank $5.25M, Arietis Health $2.8Mcertain
  • Emsisoft (June 2024) modeled global economic cost at over $15.8 billion using IBM's ~$165-per-record average breach costuncertain
  • Zellis (payroll processor) was the third-party conduit exposing BBC, British Airways and Aer Lingus datacertain

Sources

  1. CISA
  2. Cybersecurity Dive
  3. BleepingComputer
  4. Rapid7
  5. Cloudskope
  6. Hagens Berman
  7. Palo Alto Networks Unit 42

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